Two questions, in order. What will your life cost each year once you stop earning, in the rupees of that year rather than today's. And is the money you are putting aside now going to get you there.
Most people answer the second question without ever answering the first, which is why retirement shortfalls tend to be discovered late.
Three steps. Inflate today's expenses to your retirement year. Multiply by the number of years you expect to live after retiring. Subtract what you already have earmarked.
Future Annual Expense = Current Annual Expense × (1 + inflation)^years to retirement
Required Corpus = Future Annual Expense × years in retirement
Gap = Required Corpus − Retirement Assets you already hold
A more careful version accounts for the corpus continuing to earn returns through retirement, which reduces the required amount. The simple version above is deliberately conservative.
You are 38 and spend ₹75,000 a month, so ₹9 lakh a year. You plan to retire at 60, which is 22 years away. At 6% inflation, that ₹9 lakh becomes about ₹32 lakh a year in 2048 rupees. If you expect 25 years of retirement, the headline corpus is roughly ₹8 crore.
That number tends to shock people. It should not. It is the same lifestyle you have now, priced in future rupees. It is also why starting at 38 rather than 48 changes the required monthly contribution by a factor of roughly three.
Change the inflation assumption from 5% to 7% in the example above and the required corpus moves by well over a crore. This single input matters more than your return assumption, and it is the one people pick casually.
Worth splitting it. General household inflation of 5 to 6% is reasonable for food, utilities and transport. Medical inflation runs far higher and lands disproportionately in your seventies and eighties. Planning both at the same rate understates the back half of retirement.
FOLO Tip: The retirement gap is not a fixed thing, it moves every time your net worth does. FOLO keeps that number live so the gap is something you watch close, rather than something you rediscover every few years.
